Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-01-30 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.24165%27%
2Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL24156%35%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
4Kevin Lankinen VANVAN24155%35%
5Frederik Andersen CARCAR1.93147%100%
6Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
7Joey Daccord SEASEA1.94150%35%
8Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
9Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
10Connor Ingram EDMEDM1.64142%35%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
12Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA1.53050%0%
13Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
14Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.44136%35%
15Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.43045%100%
16Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.43045%100%
17Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
18Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.24129%35%
19Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
20Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.14136%0%
21John Gibson DETDET13035%0%
22Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK0.92046%0%
23Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
24Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
25Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
26Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
27Joel Hofer STLSTL0.82041%0%
28Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.62032%35%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.63020%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.63129%0%