Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-01-23 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.15170%31%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ35167%35%
3Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.95147%100%
4Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.75054%0%
5Ilya Sorokin NYINYI24167%0%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA23065%27%
7Dustin Wolf CGYCGY1.93145%100%
8Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.93064%0%
9Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS1.93145%100%
10Logan Thompson WSHWSH1.84045%0%
11Linus Ullmark OTTOTT1.84147%35%
12Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.73056%35%
13Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.65135%20%
14Joel Hofer STLSTL1.64041%0%
15Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.64040%100%
16Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.63131%100%
17Jake Oettinger DALDAL1.53050%50%
18Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.53050%35%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.44146%0%
20Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.43155%35%
21Joey Daccord SEASEA1.43150%35%
22Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.34032%35%
23Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.13036%0%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.13036%35%
25Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA14250%0%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.93029%35%
27Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.93029%0%
28Juuse Saros NSHNSH0.92044%35%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.83120%35%
30Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82042%35%
31John Gibson DETDET0.73135%0%