Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-01-09 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
2Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS4.27245%100%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.97164%0%
5Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
6Joey Daccord SEASEA3.78250%35%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
8Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
9Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
10Juuse Saros NSHNSH3.48244%35%
11Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
12Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.47255%35%
13Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
14Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
16Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
17Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.88236%35%
18Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
19Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.76045%100%
20Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
21Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.68232%35%
22Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.58235%20%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL2.56041%0%
25Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
26Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
27John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86029%35%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.87129%0%
30Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.45136%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.36120%35%