Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2023-01-02 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

❓ How to read this (plain English)

The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
2Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
5Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
7Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
8Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
9Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.45245%100%
10Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
11Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA36050%0%
14Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.97244%35%
15Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.97142%35%
16Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.86046%0%
17Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.76045%100%
18Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.77254%0%
19Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.55050%35%
20Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
22Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.35047%35%
23Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.96135%20%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
28John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
29Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.65031%100%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.56220%35%