Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-12-26 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.17270%31%
2Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.96065%27%
4Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.86245%100%
5Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
6Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
7Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
8Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.36145%100%
9Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
10Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL36150%50%
12Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
13Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
14Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.96256%35%
15Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.86047%100%
16Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.86046%0%
17Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.76147%35%
18Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.77145%0%
19Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.56244%35%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
22Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
23Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.16036%0%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
27Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.85036%35%
28Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.65135%20%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
30John Gibson DETDET1.46235%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.36120%35%