Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-12-19 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
2Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.86245%100%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.46270%31%
4Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
5Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
6Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.26145%100%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
8Jet Greaves CBJCBJ35167%35%
9Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
10Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
11Lukas Dostal ANAANA2.95165%27%
12Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
13Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.75054%0%
14Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.76147%35%
15Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.66131%100%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
17Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
18Joey Daccord SEASEA2.55050%35%
19Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
20Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.45256%35%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
22Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
24Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96132%35%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.85036%0%
26Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.85136%35%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.55129%35%
28John Gibson DETDET1.45135%0%
29Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.36120%35%
30Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.24135%20%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.25129%0%