Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-12-12 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.37247%100%
2Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
3Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.87265%27%
4Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
5Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
6Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
7Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
8Jakub Dobes MTLMTL3.47140%100%
9Juuse Saros NSHNSH37144%35%
10Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA36050%0%
11Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
12Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
13Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.85145%100%
14Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.76147%35%
15Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.75054%0%
16Ilya Sorokin NYINYI2.76267%0%
17Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.65156%35%
18Joey Daccord SEASEA2.55050%35%
19Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.55155%35%
20Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.36146%0%
21Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
22Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.37232%35%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16136%35%
24Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
25Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
26Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.86136%0%
27Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.77220%35%
28Joel Hofer STLSTL1.66241%0%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.55029%0%
30John Gibson DETDET1.45135%0%
31Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.44035%20%