Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-12-05 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

❓ How to read this (plain English)

The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.97070%31%
2Scott Wedgewood COLCOL4.57064%0%
3Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
4Dustin Wolf CGYCGY4.28145%100%
5Jakub Dobes MTLMTL47240%100%
6Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
7Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
8Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
9Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.36056%35%
10Logan Thompson WSHWSH3.27045%0%
11Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.26054%0%
12Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
13Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
14Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
15Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
16Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
18Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.85145%100%
19Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.75055%35%
20Ilya Sorokin NYINYI2.76267%0%
21Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.68232%35%
22Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.66144%35%
23Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57036%35%
24Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.27031%100%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF26135%20%
28John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
29Joel Hofer STLSTL1.67341%0%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.46120%35%