Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-11-28 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Scott Wedgewood COLCOL4.57064%0%
2Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.26070%31%
4Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.86245%100%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.77156%35%
6Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
7Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
8Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
9Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.36055%35%
10Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.26054%0%
11Logan Thompson WSHWSH3.27045%0%
12Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
13Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA38250%0%
14Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
16Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
18Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.76147%35%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
20Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57036%35%
21Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.45150%35%
22Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.35047%100%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.27235%20%
24Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.27031%100%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27132%35%
26John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
28Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.15144%35%
29Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.96229%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD15020%35%