Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-11-21 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.88165%27%
2Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS4.78245%100%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
4Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
5Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
6Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.67155%35%
8Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.55070%31%
9Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
10Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.35067%35%
11Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.27147%35%
12Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
13Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
14Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
15Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
16Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
17Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.97142%35%
18Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
19Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.86046%0%
20Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
21Joel Hofer STLSTL2.57141%0%
22Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
23Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
24Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.27032%35%
25Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.15144%35%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.17235%20%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
29John Gibson DETDET1.86135%0%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.67120%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.56129%0%