Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-11-14 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.57065%27%
2Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
3Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.96064%0%
4Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.87147%100%
5Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
6Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
7Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
8Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.55070%31%
9Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
10Linus Ullmark OTTOTT3.37047%35%
11Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
12Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.27045%100%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
14Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
15Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
16Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
17Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.85056%35%
18Joel Hofer STLSTL2.58241%0%
19Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
20Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
21Joey Daccord SEASEA2.55050%35%
22Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
23Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.25044%35%
24Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.15042%35%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96032%35%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86029%35%
27John Gibson DETDET1.85035%0%
28Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.86235%20%
29Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.57229%0%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.57120%35%
31Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.45136%0%