Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-11-07 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
3Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ3.76167%35%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.36056%35%
6Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
7Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.36145%100%
8Logan Thompson WSHWSH3.27045%0%
9Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.25065%27%
10Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.25064%0%
11Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
12Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN2.96255%35%
14Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
15Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
16Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.86047%35%
17Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
18Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.76044%35%
19Joel Hofer STLSTL2.58241%0%
20Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57136%35%
21Joey Daccord SEASEA2.55050%35%
22Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
23Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.46142%35%
24John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
25Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
26Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
27Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.96135%20%
28Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.86136%0%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65132%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.57229%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.26020%35%