Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-10-31 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.57170%31%
2Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.37247%100%
3Ilya Sorokin NYINYI47167%0%
4Dustin Wolf CGYCGY3.77145%100%
5Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
6Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.47255%35%
7Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.36056%35%
8Logan Thompson WSHWSH3.28145%0%
9Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.26145%100%
10Jake Oettinger DALDAL36050%50%
11Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
12Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
13Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
14Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.86047%35%
15Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
16Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.76044%35%
17Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.57236%35%
18Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.55050%35%
19Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA2.56150%0%
20Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
21Jet Greaves CBJCBJ2.34167%35%
22Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.26254%0%
23John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
24Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
25Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR2.17136%0%
26Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
27Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.94164%0%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
29Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65132%35%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.26229%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.26020%35%