Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-10-24 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Frederik Andersen CARCAR4.37247%100%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
4Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
5Arvid Soderblom CHICHI3.47150%35%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
8Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL3.16156%35%
9Joey Daccord SEASEA36050%35%
10Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA37150%0%
11Jet Greaves CBJCBJ35167%35%
12Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
13Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.86047%35%
14Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.87142%35%
15Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
16Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.77145%0%
17Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.77254%0%
18Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.76045%100%
19Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
20Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.37135%20%
21Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.35045%100%
22Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.25044%35%
23Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
24John Gibson DETDET2.17135%0%
25Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.96132%35%
26Scott Wedgewood COLCOL1.95264%0%
27Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
28Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.86129%35%
29Dan Vladar PHIPHI1.85136%35%
30Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.57120%35%
31Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.27329%0%