Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-10-17 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

❓ How to read this (plain English)

The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ4.37167%35%
2Lukas Dostal ANAANA4.27165%27%
3Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS4.17270%31%
4Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.77145%100%
5Joey Daccord SEASEA3.57050%35%
6Jake Oettinger DALDAL3.57150%50%
7Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA3.57050%0%
8Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.47255%35%
9Frederik Andersen CARCAR3.36147%100%
10Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.37267%0%
11Scott Wedgewood COLCOL3.27264%0%
12Anthony Stolarz TORTOR3.27154%0%
13Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.97142%35%
14Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.96256%35%
15Akira Schmid VGKVGK2.97131%100%
16Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.96150%35%
17Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
18Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.86047%35%
19Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.76045%0%
20Eric Comrie WPGWPG2.68232%35%
21Jakub Dobes MTLMTL2.46040%100%
22Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.35045%100%
23Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.25044%35%
24Filip Gustavsson MINMIN2.17129%35%
25John Gibson DETDET2.16035%0%
26Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF2.16035%20%
27Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16236%35%
28Joel Hofer STLSTL2.16141%0%
29Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.87236%0%
30Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.57229%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD1.57120%35%