Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-10-10 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Jet Greaves CBJCBJ47267%35%
2Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS3.86170%31%
3Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS3.86245%100%
4Lukas Dostal ANAANA3.56165%27%
5Joey Daccord SEASEA3.47150%35%
6Ilya Sorokin NYINYI3.36167%0%
7Kevin Lankinen VANVAN3.16155%35%
8Jakub Dobes MTLMTL36140%100%
9Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA36050%0%
10Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL2.96256%35%
11Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK2.87146%0%
12Anthony Stolarz TORTOR2.76154%0%
13Scott Wedgewood COLCOL2.66264%0%
14Jake Oettinger DALDAL2.55050%50%
15Arvid Soderblom CHICHI2.45150%35%
16Frederik Andersen CARCAR2.35047%100%
17Logan Thompson WSHWSH2.36145%0%
18Dustin Wolf CGYCGY2.35045%100%
19Linus Ullmark OTTOTT2.35047%35%
20Juuse Saros NSHNSH2.25044%35%
21Connor Ingram EDMEDM2.15042%35%
22Dan Vladar PHIPHI2.16236%35%
23Akira Schmid VGKVGK1.96031%100%
24Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR1.86136%0%
25Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF1.85035%20%
26Eric Comrie WPGWPG1.65132%35%
27Filip Gustavsson MINMIN1.55029%35%
28Arturs Silovs PITPIT1.55029%0%
29John Gibson DETDET1.45135%0%
30Joel Hofer STLSTL1.23041%0%
31Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD15020%35%