Kodo Hockey

Goalie Expected Starts

Week of 2022-10-03 — the two-start-pitcher analog. xStarts = Σ P(start) per game: starter share over the last 20 team games, discounted to the team's observed B2B-repeat rate on second nights. Green = 3+ expected.

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The goalie version of the two-start-pitcher week: who's in line for the most starts?

xStarts
Expected starts = team games × how often this goalie gets the net, discounted on back-to-back second nights. 3+ = stream him.
Start %
His share of the team's recent starts (last 20 team games).
B2B repeat
How often this team gives the SAME goalie both nights of a back-to-back. Low = the backup eats a start.
#GoalieTeamxStartsTeam GPB2BsStart %B2B repeatOwn%
1Yaroslav Askarov SJSSJS2.94245%100%
2Jakub Dobes MTLMTL1.83140%100%
3Juuse Saros NSHNSH1.74144%35%
4Jet Greaves CBJCBJ1.73167%35%
5Andrei Vasilevskiy TBLTBL1.53156%35%
6Darcy Kuemper LAKLAK1.43046%0%
7Arvid Soderblom CHICHI1.43150%35%
8Jeremy Swayman BOSBOS1.42070%31%
9Joey Daccord SEASEA1.43150%35%
10Lukas Dostal ANAANA1.32065%27%
11Ilya Sorokin NYINYI1.32067%0%
12Anthony Stolarz TORTOR1.13154%0%
13Kevin Lankinen VANVAN1.12055%35%
14Jake Oettinger DALDAL12050%50%
15Sergei Bobrovsky FLAFLA12050%0%
16Akira Schmid VGKVGK0.93031%100%
17Frederik Andersen CARCAR0.92047%100%
18Logan Thompson WSHWSH0.93145%0%
19Dustin Wolf CGYCGY0.92045%100%
20Linus Ullmark OTTOTT0.92047%35%
21Connor Ingram EDMEDM0.82042%35%
22Igor Shesterkin NYRNYR0.73136%0%
23Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUFBUF0.72035%20%
24Dan Vladar PHIPHI0.72036%35%
25Scott Wedgewood COLCOL0.62164%0%
26Filip Gustavsson MINMIN0.62029%35%
27Arturs Silovs PITPIT0.62029%0%
28Jacob Markstrom NJDNJD0.42020%35%
29Joel Hofer STLSTL0.41041%0%
30John Gibson DETDET0.32135%0%
31Eric Comrie WPGWPG0.31032%35%