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2026-27 season preview

Tampa Bay Lightning

50-24-10110 pts2nd of 32
Goals for
3.42
4th in the league
Goals against
2.71
3rd in the league
Power play
20.7%
17th in the league

Kodo projects the Tampa Bay Lightning for 50-24-10 (110 pts), carried by the 2nd-ranked projected goal prevention. The fantasy engine runs through Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel on PP1. 1 core skater projects to rise and 3 to slip. Andrei Vasilevskiy is the projected starter.

Your categories · using the preset above
Regression watch
finishing/on-ice luck ran hot — expect some pullback off last year's line
Buy-low
underlying shot/chance rates outran the results — a discount vs name value
The crease
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Andrei Vasilevskiy projects the crease (~48 starts), but Dennis Hildeby (~34) makes it more timeshare than lock
Contents · 12 sections

Latest

lines, injuries and roster moves 1 / 12 ›
ReportedBrandon Hagel — Brandon Hagel and Jake Guentzel are the last #GoBolts skaters on the ice for pregame warmups ahead of the home opener against #AllCaps. https://t.co/dYSEpsNMDP · @EddieInTheYard ↗2026-10-03
ReportedJansen Harkins — #GoBolts have 7 D on the ice for pregame warmups tonight with Lilleberg as the 7th. Don't see Jansen Harkins on the ice. We are looking at 11 and 7 tonight vs. #AllCaps. · @EddieInTheYard ↗2026-10-03
ReportedEmil Lilleberg — Emil Lilleberg is on the ice for warmups, I do not see Jansen Harkins. It looks like the #GoBolts are rolling with 11 forwards, 7 defensemen tonight against the Capitals. · @BenjaminJReport ↗2026-10-03
ReportedJohn Carlson — #GoBolts defenseman John Carlson tonight sees a pair of firsts: It’s his @TBLightning home debut and his first time facing the Capitals, where he spent the first 17 seasons of his career. On facing WSH: “I think it'll be a little weird. As soon as the schedule came out, it didn't take long to see it. We'll see what happens, but I think at a minimum it'll be a little bit weird.” On playing in front of Tampa fans: “It’s gonna be cool. Opening night, home opener, it’s always an extra charged up crowd. I'm looking forward to it, and my kids are too.” · @BenjaminJReport ↗2026-10-03
ReportedYanni Gourde — Stick taps for Yanni Gourde, who drew in on some drills today, in the middle of the #GoBolts post-skate stretch circle. First time I’ve seen him on the ice with the group. He’s been skating on his own after offseason hip surgery. https://t.co/RzagvSXpIH · @EddieInTheYard ↗2026-10-03
Each item names its source. Kodo's own projected line changes are not reported here.

Where this team sits

last season vs projection‹ 2 / 12 ›
25-2626-27Change
Goals for3.494th3.426th-0.07▼2
Goals against2.793rd2.712nd-0.08▲1
Power play20.717th20.9617th=+0.26~
Penalty kill82.63rd80.193rd-2.41
Faceoffs47.428th48.6826th+1.28▲2
Points percentage0.6465th0.6552nd+0.009▲3
How these projections are made
Both bars share one scale per row — the wider of the two league ranges — so a bar that moves is a number that moved. The grey tick is that column's league average, and the arrow is the change in league rank. Goals-against and expected-goals-against rank ascending, so low is good and green always means improved.
Goals for, goals against and points percentage come from the roster: summed player projections over the real 26-27 schedule, last season's expected goals against regressed toward the league and adjusted for projected goaltending, and a game-by-game simulation of that schedule.
The special teams are projected from how much each number actually carries over year to year, measured across 298 team-season pairs going back to 2010-11. The power play uses one prior season shrunk 0.36; the penalty kill uses three, weighted .5/.3/.2 and shrunk 0.38. Special teams barely persist, so a league-worst penalty kill is mostly bad luck and comes most of the way back, while the faceoff dot is a repeatable team skill. How far a club moves depends on how far from the mean it started: Vancouver sits near league average on both the power play and the faceoff dot and barely shifts, while Edmonton's 30.6% power play comes back to the middle and this penalty kill, worst in the league, is the biggest riser of all 32.
The penalty kill averages three seasons because one measures it so badly. Split a single season's spread into ability and sampling noise — a kill rate is a binomial over about 250 opportunities, so the noise is known rather than guessed — and only 33% of the gap between clubs is real. Divide the year-over-year correlation by that and the ability underneath comes out near 1.0: penalty killing is almost perfectly persistent and merely hard to see in one season. The cure for a noisy measurement is more of it, and three seasons beat one by 4.3% out of sample. Because averaging reorders clubs, that row's rank is a real forecast; the rows marked = are single-season regressions, which compress the values but keep them in order, so their rank is last season's by construction and only the value is a prediction.
A roster-aware faceoff model was built and rejected on the evidence. Draw counts are not stored, but they can be recovered exactly from the per-game percentages, and with real draws a club's number reconstructs from its own centres. It still does not predict better: given a club's first half to learn from and even handed the second half's draw distribution, it scored 2.24 against the plain regression's 2.26 across 32 clubs, and the best blend of the two puts almost no weight on it. A team's faceoff percentage already carries who takes its draws. Expected goals has no team projection at all, so that row shows last season alone.

How last season went

in quarters — where the season was won and lost‹ 3 / 12 ›
They held about the same pace all year — -3 points of win percentage between the first quarter and the last.
Oct–Nov10-09 – 11-20
55%11-9
for3.05
against2.85
Nov–Jan11-22 – 01-03
67%14-7
for3.86
against2.52
Jan–Mar01-06 – 03-07
70%14-6
for3.70
against2.70
Mar–Apr03-08 – 04-15
52%11-10
for3.52
against3.19

Schedule shape

games per week and per month, light nights, back-to-backs‹ 4 / 12 ›
Light nights
19%31st
16 of 84 games
Four-game weeks
714th
7 weeks of two or fewer
Back-to-backs
1322nd
roughly one backup start each
Playoff-week games
1015th
over 3 weeks · 1 back-to-back
Games per week
2026-09-28on light nights2027-04-05
Games by month
Oct*
13
Nov
13
Dec
15
Jan
12
Feb
11
Mar
14
Apr*
6
* part of a month — the season opens and closes mid-month.

Projected lineup

lines, pairs and both special teams, with what each man projects for‹ 5 / 12 ›
Lineup notes
This is the lineup the club can ice on opening night, not its best-case group. A player expected to miss more than the opening month is left out and his slot goes to whoever takes it — he keeps his projection below, he is out of the lineup, not out of the season.
Dominic James — Hand: IR. Expected to be out until at least Oct 13 · still projected 52 games
Yanni Gourde — Hip: IR. Expected to be out until at least Dec 2 · still projected 18 games
Projected ice time totals 298.1 of the 300 skater-minutes a game has. Power play 3.16′ on the first unit, 1.79′ on the second; the kill 2.35′, 1.67′ and 1′ across three units — all measured.Change this lineup →

Forward lines

L1
LW
Nikita KucherovG: 97th percentileA: 100th percentilePPP: 100th percentileSOG: 96th percentileHIT: 17th percentileBLK: 23rd percentilePIM: 78th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
128 pts · 18.0′
37G · 91A · 238SOG · 34HIT · 30BLK
C
Brayden PointG: 92nd percentileA: 88th percentilePPP: 87th percentileSOG: 81st percentileHIT: 3rd percentileBLK: 31st percentilePIM: 6th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
72 pts · 18.0′
31G · 41A · 167SOG · 16HIT · 34BLK
RW
Gage GoncalvesG: 47th percentileA: 52nd percentilePPP: 42nd percentileSOG: 26th percentileHIT: 64th percentileBLK: 21st percentilePIM: 63rd percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
30 pts · 17.6′
10G · 20A · 76SOG · 85HIT · 29BLK
L2
LW
Jake GuentzelG: 98th percentileA: 94th percentilePPP: 96th percentileSOG: 94th percentileHIT: 24th percentileBLK: 47th percentilePIM: 83rd percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
87 pts · 17.6′
38G · 49A · 220SOG · 39HIT · 43BLK
C
Anthony CirelliG: 85th percentileA: 78th percentilePPP: 50th percentileSOG: 67th percentileHIT: 32nd percentileBLK: 64th percentilePIM: 78th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
56 pts · 17.5′
24G · 32A · 136SOG · 48HIT · 59BLK
RW
Brandon HagelG: 99th percentileA: 94th percentilePPP: 75th percentileSOG: 95th percentileHIT: 37th percentileBLK: 54th percentilePIM: 94th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
89 pts · 18.2′
40G · 49A · 229SOG · 53HIT · 48BLK
L3
LW
Zemgus GirgensonsG: 33rd percentileA: 12th percentilePPP: 16th percentileSOG: 31st percentileHIT: 93rd percentileBLK: 49th percentilePIM: 58th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
13 pts · 13.9′
7G · 6A · 83SOG · 179HIT · 44BLK
C
Pontus HolmbergG: 50th percentileA: 26th percentilePPP: 30th percentileSOG: 32nd percentileHIT: 46th percentileBLK: 42nd percentilePIM: 56th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
22 pts · 14.0′
11G · 11A · 84SOG · 64HIT · 40BLK
RW
Ilya MikheyevG: 68th percentileA: 44th percentilePPP: 20th percentileSOG: 57th percentileHIT: 17th percentileBLK: 7th percentilePIM: 12th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
34 pts · 14.6′
17G · 17A · 122SOG · 33HIT · 22BLK
L4
LW
Conor GeekieG: 18th percentileA: 8th percentilePPP: 31st percentileSOG: 8th percentileHIT: 62nd percentileBLK: 4th percentilePIM: 14th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
9 pts · 12.5′
4G · 5A · 54SOG · 81HIT · 19BLK
C
Jansen HarkinsG: 1st percentileA: 0th percentilePPP: 7th percentileSOG: 0th percentileHIT: 56th percentileBLK: 3rd percentilePIM: 11th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
2 pts · 10.7′
1G · 1A · 25SOG · 73HIT · 18BLK
RW
Jeffrey VielG: 25th percentileA: 8th percentilePPP: 16th percentileSOG: 19th percentileHIT: 86th percentileBLK: 11th percentilePIM: 97th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
10 pts · 10.7′
5G · 5A · 68SOG · 137HIT · 25BLK

Defence pairs

D1
LD
John CarlsonG: 50th percentileA: 89th percentilePPP: 77th percentileSOG: 69th percentileHIT: 18th percentileBLK: 89th percentilePIM: 48th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
54 pts · 23.2′
11G · 43A · 142SOG · 34HIT · 112BLK
RD
J.J. MoserG: 26th percentileA: 50th percentilePPP: 34th percentileSOG: 41st percentileHIT: 42nd percentileBLK: 80th percentilePIM: 88th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
24 pts · 20.1′
5G · 19A · 94SOG · 61HIT · 94BLK
D2
LD
Ryan McDonaghG: 21st percentileA: 48th percentilePPP: 26th percentileSOG: 9th percentileHIT: 9th percentileBLK: 88th percentilePIM: 6th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
22 pts · 19.2′
4G · 18A · 56SOG · 25HIT · 111BLK
RD
Erik CernakG: 9th percentileA: 17th percentilePPP: 7th percentileSOG: 14th percentileHIT: 89th percentileBLK: 88th percentilePIM: 96th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
10 pts · 19.2′
2G · 7A · 61SOG · 149HIT · 112BLK
D3
LD
Victor HedmanG: 40th percentileA: 84th percentilePPP: 66th percentileSOG: 55th percentileHIT: 25th percentileBLK: 81st percentilePIM: 47th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
45 pts · 17.6′
8G · 38A · 118SOG · 40HIT · 96BLK
RD
Charle-Edouard D'AstousG: 29th percentileA: 61st percentilePPP: 43rd percentileSOG: 32nd percentileHIT: 73rd percentileBLK: 77th percentilePIM: 99th percentileGAPPPSOGHITBLKPIM
29 pts · 15.8′
6G · 23A · 83SOG · 103HIT · 86BLK

Special teams

Scratches & depth

Roster movement & minutes

who changed, and the minutes freed‹ 6 / 12 ›
Darren Raddysh→ TOR73 played · 9 missed
0.96 points a game and 22.7 minutes walked out of the lineup — about 9 points over a season.
Stepped up without him
playerwithw/outswing
Hedman0.420.86+0.44
Girgensons0.240.67+0.43
Cirelli0.681.11+0.43
Holmberg0.290.57+0.28
Cernak0.170.25+0.08
Faded without him
playerwithw/outswing
Kucherov1.781.00-0.78
James0.380.00-0.38
Hagel1.080.75-0.33
Bjorkstrand0.420.22-0.20
Point0.810.67-0.14
Points per game with him in the lineup against the games he missed. Not a controlled experiment — absences cluster around injuries, so some of these games were missing other players too. Every absence for this club →
In Carlson, Mikheyev, Viel, Harkins, Meneghin, Steen, Kralovic, Kurth, Mercuri, Roelens, Gauthier, Szturc
Callup —
Out Raddysh→TOR, Perry, Bjorkstrand, Paul→TOR, Douglas→SEA, Carlile, Chaffee→NYI, Groshev→UFA
Goncalves13.1→14.5 +1.4
Geekie9.9→10.5 +0.6
Carlson23.2→23.5 +0.3
McDonagh19.3→18.4 -0.9
Mikheyev17.4→16.4 -1
D'Astous18.8→17.2 -1.6
Viel11.9→9.2 -2.7
Harkins9.6→6.8 -2.8
Biggest projected minute changes either way — a club's ice time is a fixed budget, so the departures above are what free it up. Full board →

Camp battles

contested roles, priced in points‹ 7 / 12 ›
First line — centreUNDERDEPLOYED4.7 pts at stake
holds it
Anthony Cirelli
56 proj pts · 17.6′ · 1.3′ PP
vs
pushing
Brayden Point
72 proj pts · 18.6′ · 3.7′ PP
Anthony Cirellimodel favours the challengerBrayden Point
1.40 more min/game on L1 (role-model baseline), at the challenger's own scoring rate over a full season. Power-play gaps come from measured PP minutes last season; even-strength gaps from the role model that drives every projection on this page.
Second power-play unit — quarterback6.4 pts at stake
holds it
Victor Hedman
46 proj pts · 19.1′ · 2.1′ PP
vs
pushing
Charle-Edouard D'Astous
29 proj pts · 17.2′ · 1.2′ PP
Victor Hedmanmodel favours the incumbentCharle-Edouard D'Astous

Power play

20.7% last season · who it runs through, and what is left of it‹ 8 / 12 ›
Conversion
20.7%
on the man advantage
PP goals
56
574 shots
Expected goals
61
-5 vs actual
Shooting
9.8%
of PP shots go in
What left the power play
Perry carried 7% of the power-play points on 2% of its minutes — a focal score of 4.93. He is not on this roster.
Who it runs through · last season
PlayerPP/gmSharePPGPPAPPP/60ixGIPPFocal
Kucherov4.16′80%829377.03676%1.43
Guentzel3.97′76%822305.5910.165%1.13
Hedman2.14′41%0665.091.263%1.03
Hagel2.28′44%57124.454.260%0.91
Point3.65′70%65112.871046%0.58
Cirelli1.31′25%3142.59259%0.52
Goncalves1.09′21%0221.491.1—0.29
D'Astous1.22′23%0221.410.5—0.27
What IPP, focal and ixG mean
IPP is the share of the power-play goals he was on the ice for that he got a point on. It is the direct form of “the play runs through him”: two men can take the same unit minutes while one touches the puck on every goal and the other watches from the far circle. League average on the power play is 59%. It is computed from the on-ice record of every goal, corrected for the ~18% of goals with no on-ice row and shrunk toward the positional mean for thin samples, so it cannot exceed 1.
Focal is the older, cruder version — his share of the team's power-play points over his share of its minutes. It is team-relative, so it moves when a teammate is injured; IPP does not. ixG is the expected goals from his own shots on the man advantage. Minutes are measured, not modelled.
Projected PP1Guentzel30 PPP (30 last yr)Kucherov43 PPP (37 last yr)Point21 PPP (11 last yr)Hagel14 PPP (12 last yr)Carlson14 PPP (14 last yr)
Projected PP2Cirelli5 PPP (4 last yr)D'Astous3 PPP (2 last yr)Goncalves3 PPP (2 last yr)Hedman9 PPP (6 last yr)Holmberg1 PPPGeekie1 PPP

Hits, blocks and the rest

what a banger league is won with‹ 9 / 12 ›
Hits
150824th
projected, this roster · of 32
Blocks
112518th
projected, this roster · of 32
Shots
223322nd
projected, this roster · of 32
Penalty minutes
9003rd
projected, this roster · of 32
Faceoff wins
171531st
projected, this roster · of 32
H+B
263324th
projected, this roster · of 32
S+H+B
486624th
projected, this roster · of 32
Who supplies them
PlayerGPHits/60Blks/60PKPIMFOW+/-H+BS+H+B
Cernak RD274149▲6.261125.532.773—+9261322
D'Astous LD3761034.38863.370.6101—-2188272
Girgensons L37617910.68442.412.03391-1223306
Viel L45313713.56252.350.1812-2162230
Moser RD176612.14943.22.755—+22154248
Carlson RD1·PP17134▲0.951123.862.428—+8146288
Hedman LD3·PP26640▲1.83964.232.128—+6136254
Hagel L2·PP18153▲1.79481.622.36323+26100329
McDonagh LD26625▲1.231114.923.214—+20136192
Lilleberg4072▼6.66383.121.846—+4110141
Cirelli L2·PP279482.44592.32.745584+29107243
Goncalves L1·PP273855.26291.790.3356+12114190
Holmberg L3·PP273644.254020.23162+2104188
Guentzel L2·PP181391.43431.51.548180+1382302
Geekie L4·PP24081▲14.29192.60.11770-2100155
Harkins L43273▼16.05183.410.11759-391116
James5270▲6.63191.490.215169+190161
Kucherov L1·PP177341.4301.130.2451+2964302
Sabourin2047▼18.1793.17—53—+05666
Crozier32374.18333.321.528—+269110
Mikheyev L378331.39221.032.6172+255176
Point L1·PP17716▲0.42341.20.214377+1050217
What actually moves these numbers
Penalty-kill time is the strongest driver of blocks we can measure. Across 1,504 consecutive season pairs, a skater who gains a minute of shorthanded time a game adds a median 9.5 blocks over 84 games — a defenceman 16 — and the effect runs monotonically the other way too: lose a minute and it is −15.6, or −25.9 for a defenceman. The PK column is here for that reason.
But it is mostly the minutes, not the man. Shorthanded time correlates +0.52 with blocks per 60 across players and only +0.14 within the same player year to year, which says coaches pick shot-blockers for the kill more than the kill turns anyone into one. A player promoted onto PK1 gains blocks because he is on the ice for more shots, not because he changed — so price the ice time, not a breakout.
Hits run opposite to ice time. Total minutes correlate −0.57 with hits per 60, and −0.60 among forwards: the fourth line hits, the first line does not. So a rate beats a total here more than in any other category, which is what the /60 columns are for — a checker on eleven minutes at 12 hits per 60 is worth more than a first-liner at 5 on nineteen, and their season totals can look identical.
Power-play time predicts the absence of all of it — −0.43 with hits per 60, −0.47 with blocks, −0.26 with penalty minutes. The men who run a power play are not the men who supply a banger roster, which is why the two sections of this page rarely name anybody twice.
Faceoff wins are a volume category. They track draws taken far more than win rate, so the man to want is the one taking the most — normally the first-line centre and whoever takes defensive-zone draws on the kill.
Measured on 2022-23 through 2025-26, skaters with 40+ games and 200+ minutes at both ends of each pair.

Contracts and the cap

what the roster costs, and who reaches the market‹ 10 / 12 ›
$101.1Mcommitted · 24 of 24 on file
10reach the market after this season

Pending free agents · this summer

Nikita KucherovRUFA$9.50M128 pts
Pontus HolmbergRUFA$1.55M22 pts
Gage GoncalvesRRFA$1.20M30 pts
Dominic JamesCRFA$0.91M17 pts
Conor GeekieCRFA$0.89M9 pts
Zemgus GirgensonsCUFA$0.88M13 pts
Charle-Edouard D'AstousDUFA$0.88M29 pts
Scott SabourinRUFA$0.85M1 pts
Jansen HarkinsCUFA$0.85M2 pts
Emil LillebergDRFA$0.82M7 pts

Free the summer after

Andrei VasilevskiyG$9.50M
John CarlsonD$8.50M54 pts
Dennis HildebyG$0.84M

Biggest cap hits

Nikita KucherovR$9.50Mfinal yr · M-NTC
Andrei VasilevskiyG$9.50M1y left · M-NTC
Brayden PointC$9.50M3y left · NMC
Jake GuentzelC$9.00M4y left · NMC
John CarlsonD$8.50M1y left · NMC
Victor HedmanD$8.00M2y left · NMC
J.J. MoserD$6.75M7y left
Brandon HagelL$6.50M5y left · NTC

Cap hits from CapWages for the 24 men on file. A dash is a figure we do not have, usually a restricted free agent whose entry-level deal has lapsed, and those are left out of the committed total rather than counted as nothing.

The crease

GSAx last season, projected next‹ 11 / 12 ›
GSAx view
Vasilevskiy
58 NHL starts last season
GSAx / start
0.365
lg -0.040588th pctile
Shot quality faced
0.1033
lg 0.10442nd hardest
1.10-1.413875
10-start rolling GSAx · appearance 1-75 · shared scale
2026-27 projection
48 GS31 W (19–42)0.904 SV%2.61 GAA
2025-26 actual · NHL
58 GS39 W0.912 SV%2.31 GAA
Hildeby
14 NHL starts last season, with TOR
GSAx / start
0.636
lg -0.0405100th pctile
Shot quality faced
0.1039
lg 0.10449th hardest
1.10-1.411938
10-start rolling GSAx · appearance 1-38 · shared scale
2026-27 projection
34 GS17 W (10–21)0.897 SV%3.85 GAA
2025-26 actual · NHL
14 GS5 W0.914 SV%2.86 GAA
Halversongone
1 NHL start last season
GSAx / start
—
Shot quality faced
0.1171
lg 0.10497th hardest
1.10-1.4159
10-start rolling GSAx · appearance 1-9 · shared scale
2026-27 projection
— GS— W— SV%— GAA
2025-26 actual · NHL
1 GS0 W0.809 SV%4.22 GAA
Johanssongone
23 NHL starts last season
GSAx / start
-0.493
lg -0.04054th pctile
Shot quality faced
0.0995
lg 0.10413th hardest
1.10-1.414079
10-start rolling GSAx · appearance 1-79 · shared scale
2026-27 projection
— GS— W— SV%— GAA
2025-26 actual · NHL
23 GS11 W0.884 SV%3.29 GAA
GSAx is goals saved above expected — what the shots he faced were worth, minus what he actually allowed. Shown per start, because a backup cannot out-accumulate a starter but can out-perform him on a per-night basis. Shot quality faced is expected goals per shot: higher means he was hung out to dry more often, and the percentile is where that workload ranks among goalies with 15+ starts. Rolling form is a 10-start moving average — is he playing well lately; running total is the season's accumulated damage. Per-game GSAx is too noisy to read either from directly.

Projections — Every Skater

the reference table · Overall is value as a z-score against the league, so +1.00 is a standard deviation above average‹ 12 / 12
Forwards · 15
PlayerRoleAgeOverallADPGPGAP / if fitPPPSHPSOGHITBLKPIM+/-FOWH+BS+H+BTrajectorySignals
Nikita KucherovL1·PP133+3.153.9773791127.6/134431238343045+29164302sell-highPP1
Brandon HagelL2·PP128+2.1054.681404989.2143229534863+2623100329PP1
Jake GuentzelL2·PP132+2.0731.281384987.2302220394348+1318082302PP1
Brayden PointL1·PP130+1.0395.877314171.5210167163414+1037750217decliningsell-highPP1
Anthony CirelliL2·PP229+0.56218.379243255.955136485945+29584107243sell-high
Ilya MikheyevL332-0.45292.578171733.603122332217+2255176
Gage GoncalvesL1·PP225-0.53292.273102029.83076852935+126114190ascendingsell-high
Zemgus GirgensonsL332-0.59292.5767612.900831794433-191223306
Pontus HolmbergL3·PP227-0.74292.4731111221084644031+262104188
Jeffrey VielL429-0.80292.453559.900681372581-22162230bounce-backice time ↓
Dominic James24-1.07292.5528917.1/270071701915+116990161—
Conor GeekieL4·PP222-1.33292.840458.8/181054811917-270100155—
Jansen HarkinsL429-1.71292.632112.10025731817-35991116ice time ↓
Scott Sabourin34-1.80292.720011.1001047953005666
Yanni Gourde35-1.88292.218123.6/16002327814-1883558decliningbounce-back

Shading is that man's percentile among all projected forwards in the league, not among these 15. top 10% top 20 top 30 bottom 20. H+B and S+H+B take the weaker leg, because good at both is a floor rather than an average. P, SHP, PIM, +/- and FOW are unshaded — the percentile block does not carry them.

Defence · 8
PlayerRoleAgeOverallADPGPGAP / if fitPPPSHPSOGHITBLKPIM+/-FOWH+BS+H+BTrajectorySignals
John CarlsonRD1·PP136+0.5869.471114354.1/621401423411228+80146288PP1
Victor HedmanLD3·PP236+0.14114.16683845.7/5690118409628+60136254declining
Charle-Edouard D'AstousLD328-0.08229.87662328.6308310386101-20188272—ice time ↓
J.J. MoserRD126-0.44237.67651924.21294619455+220154248sell-high
Erik CernakRD229-0.55293.274289.6016114911273+90261322
Ryan McDonaghLD237-0.90292.36641822.111562511114+200136192
Emil Lilleberg25-1.39292.140256.8/140031723846+40110141
Max Crozier26-1.56291.932156.4/160140373328+2069110—

Shading is that man's percentile among all projected defencemen in the league, not among these 8. top 10% top 20 top 30 bottom 20. H+B and S+H+B take the weaker leg, because good at both is a floor rather than an average. P, SHP, PIM, +/- and FOW are unshaded — the percentile block does not carry them.

Goalies · 4
GoalieGSWLOTLSV%GAASVSAGASHOGSAxGSAx/GS
Andrei Vasilevskiy48311260.9042.61115012721222.5+21.10.365
Dennis Hildeby34171240.8973.85111412411282.1+8.90.636
Brandon Halverson——————————-1.5—
Jonas Johansson——————————-11.3-0.493

Projected record and projected ice time are model estimates; ranks, lines, projections and trend signals trace to real data.

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