2026-27 Projections

Full-category forecasts by projected wins. Method: four seasons of rates (2022-23 → 2025-26), recency-weighted (6/3/1.5/1 × games played) → regressed to position baseline by sample size, age-adjusted, goals blended with expected goals, 84-game season. Backtest-validated.

These are the model's numbers. Think one is wrong? Set your own in the Advanced Projection Sandbox →

Draft season is open.These same projections run the draft room, or download as an offline workbook.

Draft Portal →Draft Workbook →

Totals Per game

All Forwards C LW RW Defense Goalies

Disagree with any of this? Download it as a spreadsheet, edit it, and upload it back →

#	Goalie	Team	GS	Age	W	L	SHO	SV%	GAA	SV
1	Andrei Vasilevskiy TBL	TBL	48	32.2	31	12	3	0.904	2.61	1150
2	Igor Shesterkin NYR	NYR	59	30.8	29	23	3	0.900	2.9	1506
3	Jakub Dobes MTL	MTL	48	25.3	28	15	0	0.895	3.05	1222
4	Jesper Wallstedt MIN	MIN	53	23.9	28	19	6	0.900	3.14	1465
5	Karel Vejmelka UTA	UTA	48	30.4	27	16	2	0.891	3	1147
6	Logan Thompson WSH	WSH	44	29.6	27	12	3	0.901	2.82	1104
7	Jake Oettinger DAL	DAL	46	27.8	27	14	3	0.895	2.84	1088
8	Jake Allen NJD	NJD	49	36.2	27	18	2	0.895	3.13	1276
9	Mackenzie Blackwood COL	COL	45	29.8	26	13	4	0.897	2.93	1119
10	Joel Hofer STL	STL	48	26.2	26	16	5	0.899	2.98	1248
11	Arturs Silovs PIT	PIT	53	25.5	26	21	3	0.888	3.08	1267
12	Carter Hart VGK	VGK	47	28.1	26	16	0	0.891	2.85	1068
13	Scott Wedgewood COL	COL	37	34.1	25	7	3	0.904	2.57	873
14	Brandon Bussi CAR	CAR	46	28.3	25	15	2	0.894	2.58	974
15	Dan Vladar PHI	PHI	44	29.1	24	14	1	0.895	2.79	1023
16	Jet Greaves CBJ	CBJ	47	25.5	24	18	2	0.900	3.02	1244
17	Tristan Jarry EDM	EDM	48	31.4	24	18	4	0.885	3.35	1213
18	Sergei Bobrovsky TOR	TOR	50	38	24	21	4	0.885	2.99	1120
19	Jeremy Swayman BOS	BOS	46	27.9	23	17	2	0.897	3.06	1193
20	Yaroslav Askarov SJS	SJS	49	24.3	23	21	0	0.887	3.33	1246
21	John Gibson DET	DET	43	33.2	23	16	2	0.894	2.94	1040
22	Juuse Saros NSH	NSH	49	31.5	22	22	1	0.889	3.26	1250
23	Ilya Sorokin NYI	NYI	47	31.2	22	20	5	0.898	3	1216
24	Linus Ullmark OTT	OTT	41	33.2	22	14	3	0.892	2.89	956
25	Connor Hellebuyck WPG	WPG	48	33.4	22	21	2	0.898	2.89	1184
26	Akira Schmid FLA	FLA	41	26.4	22	14	3	0.891	3.08	1013
27	Jacob Markstrom FLA	FLA	42	36.7	21	16	2	0.885	3.06	965
28	Spencer Knight CHI	CHI	43	25.5	21	17	2	0.895	3.09	1105
29	Charlie Lindgren WSH	WSH	38	32.8	21	12	2	0.886	3.35	969
30	Darcy Kuemper LAK	LAK	43	36.4	21	15	3	0.893	2.81	978
31	Joey Daccord SEA	SEA	43	30.1	21	17	2	0.893	3.15	1103
32	Lukas Dostal ANA	ANA	43	26.3	20	18	0	0.888	3.38	1123
33	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen BUF	BUF	39	27.6	20	15	1	0.894	3.01	965
34	Joseph Woll PHI	PHI	39	28.2	19	15	2	0.895	3.38	1097
35	Daniil Tarasov DET	DET	40	27.5	19	17	0	0.890	3.38	1068
36	Anton Forsberg LAK	LAK	40	33.8	19	17	4	0.896	3.18	1076
37	Nico Daws NJD	NJD	34	25.8	19	9	1	0.896	3.12	899
38	Samuel Ersson OTT	OTT	41	26.9	18	19	1	0.878	3.22	929
39	Casey DeSmith DAL	DAL	36	35.1	18	14	2	0.897	3.01	923
40	Pyotr Kochetkov CAR	CAR	37	27.3	18	15	3	0.893	2.75	829
41	Cam Talbot CBJ	CBJ	36	39.2	18	14	1	0.889	3.51	983
42	Philipp Grubauer SEA	SEA	39	34.9	18	17	0	0.893	3.21	1022
43	Michael DiPietro BOS	BOS	37	27.3	17	14	1	0.896	3.14	977
44	Arvid Soderblom CHI	CHI	40	27.1	17	19	1	0.884	3.86	1147
45	Samuel Montembeault MTL	MTL	35	29.9	17	14	1	0.886	3.35	887
46	Ville Husso ANA	ANA	39	31.6	17	17	0	0.886	3.35	995
47	Adin Hill VGK	VGK	35	30.4	17	14	2	0.888	2.78	751
48	Sebastian Cossa UTA	UTA	34	23.9	17	11	1	0.896	3.16	898
49	Alex Nedeljkovic SJS	SJS	34	30.7	17	14	0	0.890	3.45	931
50	Dennis Hildeby TBL	TBL	34	25.1	17	12	2	0.897	3.85	1114
51	Dustin Wolf CGY	CGY	43	25.5	17	22	2	0.895	3.09	1102
52	Devin Cooley CGY	CGY	40	29.4	15	18	0	0.898	3.38	1163
53	Stuart Skinner WPG	WPG	34	27.9	15	15	2	0.887	3.03	788
54	Calvin Pickard MIN	MIN	30	34.5	15	12	0	0.888	3.39	787
55	Anthony Stolarz TOR	TOR	33	32.7	15	12	1	0.897	3.05	852
56	Jordan Binnington STL	STL	34	33.2	15	16	1	0.882	3.29	815
57	Alex Lyon BUF	BUF	29	33.8	15	11	2	0.896	3.08	749
58	Kevin Lankinen VAN	VAN	45	31.4	15	25	1	0.883	3.53	1170
59	Leevi Meriläinen VAN	VAN	36	24.1	14	17	2	0.888	2.86	799
60	Sergei Murashov PIT	PIT	30	22.5	14	12	1	0.895	3.17	792
61	Justus Annunen NSH	NSH	33	26.6	14	15	1	0.895	3.25	890
62	Joonas Korpisalo NYR	NYR	24	32.4	12	9	1	0.888	3.44	645
63	Semyon Varlamov NYI	NYI	22	38.4	9	8	1	0.895	3.1	573
64	Frederik Andersen EDM	EDM	18	37	8	7	0	0.883	2.98	392
65	Colten Ellis BUF	BUF	17	26	8	6	1	0.896	3.42	490
66	Devon Levi EDM	EDM	19	24.8	7	9	0	0.888	3.59	531
67	Thatcher Demko VAN	VAN	4	30.8	2	2	0	0.893	2.79	92
68	Dylan Garand NYR	NYR	3	24.3	1	1	0	0.892	3.35	83
69	Clay Stevenson WPG	WPG	3	27.6	1	1	0	0.890	2.97	73

About these projections

Projections for every skater and goalie in the NHL for 2026-27: goals, assists, points, power-play points, shots, hits, blocks and faceoffs, plus wins, saves and save percentage in the crease.

Every number carries a floor and a ceiling as well as an expected figure, because a 60-point forward who could finish anywhere between 45 and 80 is a different draft pick from one with the same expectation and half the range. Sort by any category, filter to the positions your league starts, and switch between totals and per-game rates.

Every projection is editable. Override a number you disagree with and the rankings, the draft board and the workbook all follow your figure rather than ours. Built on an 84-game season.