Kodo Hockey2026-27 Projected Standings
Every one of the 1,344 scheduled games simulated 400 times. Each team gets an offense rating (summed player projections) and a defense rating (expected goals against, adjusted for projected goaltending); each matchup is then played out with opponent- and home-ice-specific goal expectations, so strength of schedule is baked in. x = better than even odds to make the playoffs.
| # | Team | Div | Record | Pts | Range | Playoff% | Div% | Cup% | GF/gp | GA/gp | PP% | PK% | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic | |||||||||||||
| 1 | TBL Tampa Bay Lightningx | Atl | 50-24-10 | 110 | 93–125 | 85% | 44.8% | 13.7% | 3.42 | 2.71 | 21 | 79.6 | 1.007 |
| 2 | MTL Montréal Canadiensx | Atl | 47-28-9 | 103 | 87–118 | 70% | 20.5% | 5.4% | 3.62 | 3.16 | 21.7 | 78.7 | 1.012 |
| 3 | FLA Florida Panthersx | Atl | 44-30-10 | 98 | 83–113 | 59% | 12% | 3.7% | 3.35 | 3.07 | 20.7 | 79.3 | 1.015 |
| Metropolitan | |||||||||||||
| 1 | WSH Washington Capitalsx | Met | 49-25-10 | 108 | 92–123 | 80.5% | 34.8% | 11% | 3.68 | 3.01 | 20.2 | 79.1 | 1.01 |
| 2 | NJD New Jersey Devilsx | Met | 47-28-9 | 103 | 89–120 | 73.8% | 21.8% | 7.2% | 3.47 | 2.96 | 21.4 | 78.9 | 1.013 |
| 3 | PHI Philadelphia Flyersx | Met | 44-30-10 | 98 | 83–114 | 56.8% | 14% | 3.4% | 3.13 | 2.88 | 19.6 | 78.6 | 1.016 |
| Wild Card | |||||||||||||
| WC1 | CAR Carolina Hurricanesx | Met | 44-30-10 | 98 | 83–114 | 56.8% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 3.18 | 2.92 | 22.2 | 79.2 | 1.016 |
| WC2 | NYR New York Rangers | Met | 43-31-10 | 96 | 79–111 | 44.5% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 3.13 | 2.95 | 22.1 | 79.1 | 1.018 |
| 3 | BOS Boston Bruins | Atl | 42-32-10 | 94 | 79–111 | 46.2% | 8% | 0% | 3.09 | 2.99 | 21.7 | 78.5 | 1.018 |
| 4 | CBJ Columbus Blue Jackets | Met | 42-32-10 | 94 | 80–109 | 40.5% | 5.8% | 0% | 3.06 | 3.01 | 20.5 | 78.3 | 1.02 |
| 5 | BUF Buffalo Sabres | Atl | 42-32-10 | 94 | 78–109 | 44% | 4.8% | 0% | 3.06 | 2.97 | 20.7 | 79.5 | 1.018 |
| 6 | PIT Pittsburgh Penguins | Met | 41-33-10 | 92 | 74–107 | 36% | 4.2% | 0% | 3.06 | 3.13 | 21.9 | 79.4 | 1.022 |
| 7 | OTT Ottawa Senators | Atl | 41-34-9 | 91 | 76–109 | 37.5% | 7.2% | 0% | 3.14 | 3.12 | 21.9 | 78.2 | 1.019 |
| 8 | TOR Toronto Maple Leafs | Atl | 40-34-10 | 90 | 74–105 | 29.2% | 2% | 0% | 3.26 | 3.36 | 21.2 | 79.3 | 1.021 |
| 9 | NYI New York Islanders | Met | 39-35-10 | 88 | 72–104 | 23.5% | 2.5% | 0% | 2.79 | 2.96 | 19.8 | 79.3 | 1.023 |
| 10 | DET Detroit Red Wings | Atl | 38-37-9 | 85 | 69–101 | 16.8% | 0.8% | 0% | 2.79 | 3.08 | 21.5 | 78.5 | 1.023 |
| # | Team | Div | Record | Pts | Range | Playoff% | Div% | Cup% | GF/gp | GA/gp | PP% | PK% | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central | |||||||||||||
| 1 | COL Colorado Avalanchex | Cen | 53-21-10 | 116 | 99–131 | 97.2% | 61.2% | 27.7% | 3.59 | 2.62 | 20 | 80.1 | 0.984 |
| 2 | UTA Utah Mammothx | Cen | 46-28-10 | 102 | 86–117 | 79% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 3.43 | 2.99 | 20.8 | 78.7 | 0.994 |
| 3 | DAL Dallas Starsx | Cen | 46-28-10 | 102 | 85–117 | 77% | 11% | 4.3% | 3.13 | 2.82 | 23.2 | 79.2 | 0.996 |
| Pacific | |||||||||||||
| 1 | VGK Vegas Golden Knightsx | Pac | 44-31-9 | 97 | 82–113 | 77.2% | 32.5% | 3.4% | 3.12 | 2.99 | 22.1 | 79.4 | 0.984 |
| 2 | LAK Los Angeles Kingsx | Pac | 42-32-10 | 94 | 77–109 | 64.2% | 21.8% | 1.9% | 2.82 | 2.9 | 20 | 78 | 0.987 |
| 3 | SJS San Jose Sharks | Pac | 40-35-9 | 89 | 74–105 | 46.5% | 15% | 1% | 3.1 | 3.3 | 21.1 | 78.3 | 0.989 |
| Wild Card | |||||||||||||
| WC1 | MIN Minnesota Wildx | Cen | 44-31-9 | 97 | 83–114 | 67.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.11 | 2.91 | 22.2 | 79.1 | 0.998 |
| WC2 | STL St. Louis Blues | Cen | 42-33-9 | 93 | 77–109 | 49.8% | 3% | 1.1% | 2.98 | 3.03 | 20.1 | 78.4 | 1.002 |
| 3 | EDM Edmonton Oilers | Pac | 39-35-10 | 88 | 73–105 | 47.8% | 13.2% | 0% | 3.02 | 3.31 | 23.8 | 78.6 | 0.99 |
| 4 | WPG Winnipeg Jets | Cen | 39-35-10 | 88 | 72–102 | 34% | 1.2% | 0% | 2.84 | 3.04 | 20.4 | 78.6 | 1.004 |
| 5 | SEA Seattle Kraken | Pac | 39-35-10 | 88 | 71–102 | 44% | 9% | 0% | 2.78 | 3.07 | 20.7 | 77.5 | 0.99 |
| 6 | CHI Chicago Blackhawks | Cen | 39-36-9 | 87 | 72–104 | 36.8% | 2.5% | 0% | 2.96 | 3.24 | 19.9 | 79.9 | 1.005 |
| 7 | ANA Anaheim Ducks | Pac | 38-36-10 | 86 | 70–100 | 35.8% | 7% | 0% | 2.9 | 3.36 | 20.4 | 78.3 | 0.992 |
| 8 | NSH Nashville Predators | Cen | 37-38-9 | 83 | 67–100 | 27% | 1.8% | 0% | 2.83 | 3.19 | 21.7 | 79.5 | 1.007 |
| 9 | CGY Calgary Flames | Pac | 33-42-9 | 75 | 60–89 | 10.2% | 1.2% | 0% | 2.28 | 3 | 19.7 | 79.2 | 0.997 |
| 10 | VAN Vancouver Canucks | Pac | 30-44-10 | 70 | 54–84 | 5.8% | 0.2% | 0% | 2.47 | 3.53 | 21.3 | 77.3 | 1 |
Range is the middle 80% of simulated seasons, and it is the number to read beside the projection: the points column is a centre of mass, not a forecast. Each simulated season redraws the ratings as well as the results, so the band covers both a bounce of the puck and the projection being wrong.
PP% and PK% are projected, not last season's. They are the noisiest rates here: only about a third of the gap between clubs over one season is real rather than sampling noise, so both are regressed to the league mean, which cuts the error against the following season by a fifth and a quarter. Hover for the club's actual figure last year.
Standings follow the NHL format: the top three in each division, then two wild cards, ordered by points and then the league's tiebreakers (regulation wins, total wins, goal differential, goals for). Playoff% / Div% are the share of simulations in which a team makes the field or wins its division; Cup% comes from the playoffs played out game by game from these seeds. SOS = mean opponent strength faced (1.00 = league average, higher = tougher). Overtime frequency is calibrated to the real NHL rate, so league-wide points land where they should.