2026-27 Projected Standings
Every one of the 1,344 scheduled games simulated 400 times. Each team gets an offense rating (summed player projections) and a defense rating (expected goals against, adjusted for projected goaltending); each matchup is then played out with opponent- and home-ice-specific goal expectations, so strength of schedule is baked in. x = better than even odds to make the playoffs.
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | Div | Record | Pts | Playoff% | Div% | GF/gp | GA/gp | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WSH Washington Capitalsx | Met | 49-25-10 | 108 | 80.8% | 36% | 3.67 | 2.99 | 1.004 |
| 2 | TBL Tampa Bay Lightningx | Atl | 48-26-10 | 106 | 80.8% | 39.2% | 3.37 | 2.83 | 1.005 |
| 3 | PIT Pittsburgh Penguinsx | Met | 47-27-10 | 104 | 76% | 25% | 3.52 | 3.13 | 1.009 |
| 4 | CAR Carolina Hurricanesx | Met | 44-30-10 | 98 | 57.5% | 12.8% | 3.21 | 2.97 | 1.011 |
| 5 | MTL Montréal Canadiensx | Atl | 44-30-10 | 98 | 56.5% | 12.5% | 3.33 | 3.14 | 1.011 |
| 6 | OTT Ottawa Senatorsx | Atl | 44-30-10 | 98 | 56.8% | 13.8% | 3.28 | 3.08 | 1.011 |
| 7 | BOS Boston Bruinsx | Atl | 43-31-10 | 96 | 52% | 10% | 3.19 | 3.05 | 1.012 |
| 8 | CBJ Columbus Blue Jackets | Met | 43-31-10 | 96 | 47.8% | 7.8% | 3.2 | 3.1 | 1.013 |
| 9 | NJD New Jersey Devils | Met | 43-31-10 | 96 | 48.8% | 7.5% | 3.18 | 3.06 | 1.013 |
| 10 | FLA Florida Panthers | Atl | 42-32-10 | 94 | 43.2% | 8.8% | 3.29 | 3.22 | 1.013 |
| 11 | BUF Buffalo Sabres | Atl | 42-33-9 | 93 | 45.8% | 6.5% | 3.06 | 3.04 | 1.014 |
| 12 | NYR New York Rangers | Met | 41-33-10 | 92 | 33.2% | 3.2% | 2.89 | 2.99 | 1.017 |
| 13 | PHI Philadelphia Flyers | Met | 41-34-9 | 91 | 37.2% | 4.2% | 2.85 | 2.91 | 1.016 |
| 14 | DET Detroit Red Wings | Atl | 41-34-9 | 91 | 35.5% | 5% | 2.97 | 3.06 | 1.016 |
| 15 | TOR Toronto Maple Leafs | Atl | 39-36-9 | 87 | 30.2% | 4.2% | 3.16 | 3.43 | 1.018 |
| 16 | NYI New York Islanders | Met | 38-36-10 | 86 | 18% | 3.5% | 2.71 | 3.04 | 1.02 |
Western Conference
| # | Team | Div | Record | Pts | Playoff% | Div% | GF/gp | GA/gp | SOS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COL Colorado Avalanchex | Cen | 51-23-10 | 112 | 92.8% | 44.2% | 3.35 | 2.66 | 0.989 |
| 2 | UTA Utah Mammothx | Cen | 49-26-9 | 107 | 90.5% | 29.8% | 3.64 | 2.98 | 0.99 |
| 3 | DAL Dallas Starsx | Cen | 46-29-9 | 101 | 74.5% | 11.5% | 3.11 | 2.83 | 0.996 |
| 4 | LAK Los Angeles Kingsx | Pac | 43-31-10 | 96 | 70.2% | 28% | 3.02 | 2.93 | 0.986 |
| 5 | MIN Minnesota Wildx | Cen | 43-32-9 | 95 | 57% | 5% | 2.99 | 2.94 | 1 |
| 6 | VGK Vegas Golden Knightsx | Pac | 42-33-9 | 93 | 63.5% | 24% | 2.91 | 2.98 | 0.989 |
| 7 | CHI Chicago Blackhawks | Cen | 41-33-10 | 92 | 44% | 4% | 3.16 | 3.24 | 1.002 |
| 8 | NSH Nashville Predators | Cen | 41-34-9 | 91 | 46% | 4.2% | 3.12 | 3.26 | 1.003 |
| 9 | EDM Edmonton Oilers | Pac | 40-34-10 | 90 | 47.8% | 13.8% | 3.1 | 3.31 | 0.991 |
| 10 | SEA Seattle Kraken | Pac | 40-34-10 | 90 | 46.2% | 11.5% | 2.8 | 3.04 | 0.992 |
| 11 | ANA Anaheim Ducksx | Pac | 40-35-9 | 89 | 50.8% | 12.2% | 3.17 | 3.36 | 0.99 |
| 12 | STL St. Louis Blues | Cen | 39-35-10 | 88 | 38.5% | 1% | 2.9 | 3.12 | 1.004 |
| 13 | SJS San Jose Sharks | Pac | 38-37-9 | 85 | 36.2% | 8% | 2.93 | 3.31 | 0.993 |
| 14 | WPG Winnipeg Jets | Cen | 37-37-10 | 84 | 20% | 0.2% | 2.56 | 3.03 | 1.008 |
| 15 | CGY Calgary Flames | Pac | 33-41-10 | 76 | 12.8% | 1% | 2.36 | 3.09 | 0.999 |
| 16 | VAN Vancouver Canucks | Pac | 32-42-10 | 74 | 9.2% | 1.5% | 2.59 | 3.51 | 1 |
Playoff% / Div% are the share of simulations in which a team makes the field or wins its division. SOS = mean opponent strength faced (1.00 = league average, higher = tougher). Overtime frequency is calibrated to the real NHL rate, so league-wide points land where they should.