Dylan Larkin
C2026-27 projection
77
GP
34
G
37
A
71
Pts
26
PPP
224
SOG
46
Hits
33
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 39Expected 71Ceiling 100
Goals
Floor 19Expected 34Ceiling 46
Assists
Floor 19Expected 37Ceiling 54
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.9% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±10.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 74 | 34 | 33 | 67 | 229 | 24 | 48 | 3 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 30 | 40 | 70 | 234 | 27 | 40 | -16 |
| 2023-24 | 68 | 33 | 36 | 69 | 221 | 26 | 39 | 5 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 32 | 47 | 79 | 244 | 31 | 45 | -7 |
| 2021-22 | 71 | 31 | 38 | 69 | 212 | 47 | -18 | |
| 2020-21 | 44 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 134 | 34 | -14 | |
| 2019-20 | 71 | 19 | 34 | 53 | 223 | 39 | -21 | |
| 2018-19 | 76 | 32 | 41 | 73 | 287 | 75 | -6 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 16 | 47 | 63 | 232 | 61 | -9 | |
| 2016-17 | 80 | 17 | 15 | 32 | 178 | 37 | -28 | |
| 2015-16 | 80 | 23 | 22 | 45 | 221 | 34 | 11 |