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Dylan Larkin

C · 30.2 years old · USHL 13-14

Drafted 2014 · round 1, 15 overall, DET

He does not play in the NHL yet, so this page carries what he has actually done rather than what we project. No forecast, no category value and no draft ranking: we model NHL seasons, and putting a number on a USHL season we do not model would look like analysis and be a guess.
NHL
League
74
GP
34
G
33
A
67
P
0.91
P/GP
0.91
NHL-equiv. P/GP
29.1
Age
0.000.581.170.0912-13USHLage 16.10.2413-14USHLage 17.10.5615-16NHLage 19.10.4016-17NHLage 20.10.7717-18NHLage 21.10.9618-19NHLage 22.10.7519-20NHLage 23.10.5220-21NHLage 24.10.9721-22NHLage 25.10.9922-23NHLage 26.11.0123-24NHLage 27.10.8524-25NHLage 28.10.9125-26NHLage 29.1

Each season's points per game times its league's translation factor (for example SHL 0.59, Liiga 0.54, AHL 0.44, Allsvenskan 0.38, CHL 0.28, J20 0.18): what a league's scoring has historically been worth in the NHL. A scoring translation, not a rating. A short current season is drawn lighter.

Drafted players from 2005 to 2019 (3,192 of them, including the ones who never made it) whose season at his age looked most like his 25-26: NHL, 74 GP, 0.91 NHL-equivalent at 29.1, after 0.85 the year before. Also matched on draft slot, height, playing against adults and centre or wing. Then their NHL careers.

PlayerDraftedHtAt his ageGPPNHLeNHL GPNHL PP/GPBest NHL season
Adrian Kempe LW#29, 20146'1"25-26 NHL81730.907124740.6775 P in 77 GP, 23-24
Nick Schmaltz C#20, 20145'11"25-26 NHL82740.906714980.7474 P in 82 GP, 25-26
Logan Couture C#9, 20076'1"18-19 NHL81700.869337010.7570 P in 81 GP, 18-19
Alex Tuch RW#18, 20146'4"25-26 NHL79660.836154480.7379 P in 74 GP, 22-23
Evander Kane C#4, 20096'2"20-21 NHL56490.8810016480.6557 P in 74 GP, 11-12

5 of 5 played 200 or more NHL games. How players like this turned out, not a forecast for him.

SeasonLeagueGPGAPP/GPPIM
13-14USHL2617926124
12-13USHL3777140.3840

No games recorded since we started tracking him. The log is built by comparing his season totals from one morning to the next, so it begins the first time they move.

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