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Patrik Berglund

CFA · age 38 · 2025-26 · drafted 2006 by STL, round 1, #25 overallCompare with…
SHL
League
45
GP
13
G
14
A
27
P
0.60
P/GP
0.35
NHL-equiv. P/GP
32.3
Age
0.000.260.520.4113-14NHLage 25.30.3514-15NHLage 26.30.3615-16NHLage 27.30.4116-17NHLage 28.30.4617-18NHLage 29.30.1718-19NHLage 30.30.3719-20SHLage 31.30.3520-21SHLage 32.3

Each season's points per game times its league's translation factor (for example SHL 0.59, Liiga 0.54, AHL 0.44, Allsvenskan 0.38, CHL 0.28, J20 0.18): what a league's scoring has historically been worth in the NHL. A scoring translation, not a rating. A short current season is drawn lighter.

Drafted players from 2005 to 2019 (3,192 of them, including the ones who never made it) whose season at his age looked most like his 20-21: SHL, 45 GP, 0.35 NHL-equivalent at 32.3, after 0.37 the year before. Also matched on draft slot, height, playing against adults and centre or wing. Then their NHL careers.

PlayerDraftedHtAt his ageGPPNHLeNHL GPNHL PP/GPBest NHL season
Kevin Hayes RW#24, 20106'2"24-25 NHL64230.368054460.5554 P in 81 GP, 22-23
Joel Armia RW#16, 20116'3"25-26 NHL67250.376542330.3630 P in 58 GP, 19-20
Alex Chiasson RW#38, 20096'4"22-23 NHL + AHL49290.366512330.3638 P in 73 GP, 18-19
Ryan Stoa C#34, 20056'3"19-20 SHL52370.424070.174 P in 25 GP, 10-11
Victor Rask C#42, 20116'1"25-26 Swiss NL52310.335062230.4448 P in 80 GP, 15-16

4 of 5 played 200 or more NHL games. How players like this turned out, not a forecast for him.

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