Carson Carels
D2026-27 projection
39
GP
4
G
10
A
14
Pts
2
PPP
59
SOG
59
Hits
60
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 6Expected 14Ceiling 24
Goals
Floor 1Expected 4Ceiling 8
Assists
Floor 5Expected 10Ceiling 16
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 6.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±2.5 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 31 (injury), ceiling 45 (full health) vs 39 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±2.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.