Jake O'Brien
C2026-27 projection
55
GP
8
G
19
A
27
Pts
3
PPP
61
SOG
79
Hits
30
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 13Expected 27Ceiling 42
Goals
Floor 3Expected 8Ceiling 13
Assists
Floor 10Expected 19Ceiling 29
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 44 (injury), ceiling 61 (full health) vs 55 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±5.4 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.