Justin Carbonneau

RSTL · age 19 · 2025-26 · drafted 2025 by STL, round 1, #19 overallCompare with…

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This season · 26-27

AHL

League

2.00

P/GP

0.88

NHL-equiv. P/GP

19.8

Age

If called up: our NHL projection gives him 19 games this season (4.5 goals, 2.6 assists).

Trajectory · NHL-equivalent points per game

Each season's points per game times its league's translation factor (for example SHL 0.59, Liiga 0.54, AHL 0.44, Allsvenskan 0.38, CHL 0.28, J20 0.18): what a league's scoring has historically been worth in the NHL. A scoring translation, not a rating. A short current season is drawn lighter.

Players with a similar profile

Drafted players from 2005 to 2019 (3,192 of them, including the ones who never made it) whose season at his age looked most like his 25-26: QMJHL, 60 GP, 0.37 NHL-equivalent at 18.8, after 0.40 the year before. Also matched on draft slot, height, league level and centre or wing. Then their NHL careers.

Player	Drafted	Ht	At his age	GP	P	NHLe	NHL GP	NHL P	P/GP	Best NHL season
Zack Phillips C	#28, 2011	6'0"	11-12 QMJHL	60	80	0.37	0	0	–	never played in the NHL
Chris Stewart RW	#18, 2006	6'2"	06-07 OHL + AHL	66	85	0.37	668	322	0.48	64 P in 77 GP, 09-10
Stefan Noesen RW	#21, 2011	6'0"	11-12 OHL	63	82	0.36	483	175	0.36	41 P in 78 GP, 24-25
Nikita Scherbak RW	#26, 2014	6'1"	14-15 WHL	65	82	0.35	37	8	0.22	6 P in 26 GP, 17-18
Nick Foligno LW	#28, 2006	6'0"	06-07 OHL	66	88	0.37	1288	613	0.48	73 P in 79 GP, 14-15

3 of 5 played 200 or more NHL games; 1 never played in the NHL. How players like this turned out, not a forecast for him.

AHL / QMJHL game log

Date	League		Opp	G	A	P	PIM	SOG	+/-
2026-10-03	AHL	@	WBS	1	1	2	0	4	+2
2026-03-21	QMJHL	@	She	0	0	0	2	2	+1
2026-03-20	QMJHL	@	Gat	0	0	0	0	1	+2
2026-03-15	QMJHL	vs	Dru	1	0	1	2	2	-1
2026-03-13	QMJHL	vs	VdO	0	1	1	4	2	+2
2026-03-12	QMJHL	vs	BaC	0	1	1	0	1	+1
2026-03-06	QMJHL	@	Mon	0	0	0	4	2	-2
2026-03-05	QMJHL	@	Hal	2	1	3	0	2	+3
2026-03-04	QMJHL	@	SNB	0	1	1	2	5	+1
2026-03-01	QMJHL	@	Cha	3	0	3	2	4	-1
2026-02-27	QMJHL	@	Rim	3	1	4	0	9	+4
2026-02-22	QMJHL	vs	She	0	1	1	4	1	+1
2026-02-20	QMJHL	vs	Gat	0	0	0	0	1	+1
2026-02-19	QMJHL	vs	Rim	0	0	0	0	3	0
2026-02-14	QMJHL	@	Rou	0	0	0	0	0	0
2026-02-13	QMJHL	@	VdO	1	1	2	0	3	+2
2026-02-07	QMJHL	vs	VdO	2	0	2	2	3	-1
2026-02-06	QMJHL	vs	Chi	0	1	1	0	6	-1
2026-02-04	QMJHL	@	Gat	1	1	2	4	1	+2
2026-02-01	QMJHL	@	Dru	1	0	1	0	4	0
2026-01-30	QMJHL	vs	Que	2	0	2	0	5	+3
2026-01-25	QMJHL	@	Gat	1	1	2	0	1	+1
2026-01-23	QMJHL	@	Que	1	0	1	0	2	+1
2026-01-22	QMJHL	vs	Rou	1	2	3	0	2	+1
2026-01-17	QMJHL	vs	SNB	0	0	0	0	2	+2
2026-01-14	QMJHL	vs	Cap	2	0	2	2	8	+3
2026-01-11	QMJHL	vs	Cap	0	2	2	2	3	0
2026-01-08	QMJHL	@	Rou	0	0	0	0	3	-2
2026-01-07	QMJHL	@	VdO	0	0	0	0	0	-2
2026-01-04	QMJHL	vs	VdO	0	0	0	0	2	-1
2026-01-03	QMJHL	vs	Rou	2	0	2	2	4	0
2025-12-31	QMJHL	vs	Vic	1	1	2	2	2	+2
2025-12-29	QMJHL	@	She	1	1	2	6	4	+2
2025-12-28	QMJHL	vs	Chi	1	0	1	0	2	-1
2025-12-18	QMJHL	vs	Rou	1	1	2	0	4	+1
2025-12-17	QMJHL	@	Gat	0	1	1	0	5	-1
2025-12-13	QMJHL	@	BaC	1	0	1	2	2	0
2025-12-12	QMJHL	@	BaC	0	2	2	2	1	0
2025-12-05	QMJHL	vs	Rim	2	0	2	0	2	-1
2025-11-30	QMJHL	@	Vic	0	0	0	0	2	0
2025-11-29	QMJHL	vs	Gat	1	3	4	0	4	+3
2025-11-22	QMJHL	vs	VdO	1	1	2	0	4	+2
2025-11-21	QMJHL	vs	Sha	1	0	1	2	1	-1
2025-11-14	QMJHL	@	VdO	0	1	1	0	2	0
2025-11-13	QMJHL	@	Rou	1	0	1	2	4	+2
2025-11-09	QMJHL	@	Dru	0	0	0	2	1	-1
2025-11-07	QMJHL	@	Sha	1	0	1	2	5	-1
2025-11-06	QMJHL	vs	Mon	0	0	0	0	3	-2
2025-11-01	QMJHL	vs	Gat	1	0	1	0	3	+1
2025-10-31	QMJHL	@	Vic	2	0	2	0	4	+2
2025-10-29	QMJHL	vs	Hal	2	0	2	0	4	-1
2025-10-25	QMJHL	@	Chi	0	0	0	0	1	-1
2025-10-24	QMJHL	@	Que	0	0	0	2	2	-1
2025-10-19	QMJHL	@	Sha	2	1	3	4	4	+2
2025-10-18	QMJHL	vs	Rou	0	0	0	0	2	-2
2025-10-17	QMJHL	vs	Dru	3	0	3	0	7	+3
2025-10-13	QMJHL	vs	She	1	1	2	2	3	+1
2025-10-10	QMJHL	@	NFL	1	1	2	0	2	0
2025-10-09	QMJHL	@	NFL	2	1	3	0	2	+1
2025-10-05	QMJHL	vs	Gat	0	0	0	2	2	0
2025-10-03	QMJHL	vs	Cha	2	0	2	2	5	+2