Matthew Schaefer
D2026-27 projection
81
GP
24
G
45
A
69
Pts
24
PPP
259
SOG
42
Hits
111
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 37Expected 69Ceiling 95
Goals
Floor 13Expected 24Ceiling 32
Assists
Floor 23Expected 45Ceiling 63
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 8.5% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±12.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 23 | 36 | 59 | 222 | 18 | 38 | 13 |
Other leagues
| League | Season | GP | G | A | P | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OHL | 2024-25 | 17 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 8 |
| OHL | 2023-24 | 56 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 16 |