Leo Carlsson
C2026-27 projection
73
GP
33
G
46
A
78
Pts
19
PPP
199
SOG
19
Hits
34
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 42Expected 78Ceiling 113
Goals
Floor 19Expected 33Ceiling 45
Assists
Floor 24Expected 46Ceiling 68
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.5 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 79 (full health) vs 73 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±12.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 70 | 29 | 38 | 67 | 193 | 18 | 33 | 4 |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 20 | 25 | 45 | 114 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
| 2023-24 | 55 | 12 | 17 | 29 | 109 | 9 | 16 | -11 |