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Leo Carlsson

Leo Carlsson

CANA · age 21 · 2026-27 · drafted 2023 by ANA, round 1, #2 overallCompare with…
77
GP
32
G
48
A
79
Pts
20
PPP
209
SOG
20
Hits
36
Blk
Points
Floor 43Expected 79Ceiling 113
Goals
Floor 18Expected 32Ceiling 43
Assists
Floor 25Expected 48Ceiling 70
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 15.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±6.6 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±13.4 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysicalFaceoffsFinishing
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIES%PP%HITBLKPIMFOWFOLFO%xGG−xG+/-
2026-2711121100.0017:423:0027890106746.20.3+0.71
2025-267029386719315.01819:183:30305814293343354344.424.9+4.14
2024-257620254511417.5716:122:30——24361430242841.415.0+5.06
2023-245512172910911.0918:062:12——28251619536634.812.2-0.1-11

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2023-24. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

LeagueSeasonGPGAPPIM
SHL2022-23441015256
SHL2021-22353694
J202020-211945912
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