Jaroslav Chmelar
R2026-27 projection
41
GP
3
G
3
A
6
Pts
0
PPP
44
SOG
75
Hits
22
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 2Expected 6Ceiling 12
Goals
Floor 0Expected 3Ceiling 7
Assists
Floor 2Expected 3Ceiling 5
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±2.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 33 (injury), ceiling 47 (full health) vs 41 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±0.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 11 | -2 |
Other leagues
| League | Season | GP | G | A | P | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHL | 2025-26 | 46 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 42 |
| AHL | 2024-25 | 71 | 12 | 17 | 29 | 48 |
| AHL | 2023-24 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |