Matthew Kessel
D2026-27 projection
42
GP
0
G
1
A
1
Pts
0
PPP
29
SOG
33
Hits
43
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 0Expected 1Ceiling 4
Goals
Floor 0Expected 0Ceiling 2
Assists
Floor 0Expected 1Ceiling 1
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 5.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±1.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 34 (injury), ceiling 48 (full health) vs 42 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±0.2 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| 2024-25 | 29 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 10 | -3 |
| 2023-24 | 39 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
| 2022-23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Other leagues
| League | Season | GP | G | A | P | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHL | 2024-25 | 29 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 |
| AHL | 2023-24 | 36 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
| AHL | 2022-23 | 71 | 5 | 28 | 33 | 66 |
| AHL | 2021-22 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 |