Justin Barron
D2026-27 projection
69
GP
3
G
8
A
11
Pts
0
PPP
59
SOG
64
Hits
85
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 5Expected 11Ceiling 19
Goals
Floor 0Expected 3Ceiling 6
Assists
Floor 4Expected 8Ceiling 12
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 6.9% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±2.5 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 55 (injury), ceiling 75 (full health) vs 69 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±2.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 52 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 0 | 17 | -1 |
| 2024-25 | 62 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 73 | 1 | 23 | -18 |
| 2023-24 | 48 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 60 | 1 | 16 | -3 |
| 2022-23 | 39 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 2 | 20 | -2 |
| 2021-22 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | -3 |
Other leagues
| League | Season | GP | G | A | P | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHL | 2023-24 | 32 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| AHL | 2022-23 | 25 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
| AHL | 2021-22 | 86 | 10 | 30 | 40 | 16 |