Alexis Lafrenière
L2026-27 projection
81
GP
24
G
34
A
57
Pts
13
PPP
166
SOG
93
Hits
36
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 30Expected 57Ceiling 78
Goals
Floor 13Expected 24Ceiling 32
Assists
Floor 17Expected 34Ceiling 47
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±9.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 24 | 33 | 57 | 164 | 15 | 20 | -7 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 17 | 28 | 45 | 153 | 4 | 38 | -13 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 28 | 29 | 57 | 217 | 6 | 40 | 2 |
| 2022-23 | 81 | 16 | 23 | 39 | 135 | 4 | 33 | 10 |
| 2021-22 | 79 | 19 | 12 | 31 | 110 | 37 | 2 | |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 8 | -7 |