Nikita Nesterenko
C2026-27 projection
40
GP
3
G
7
A
10
Pts
0
PPP
47
SOG
75
Hits
14
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 4Expected 10Ceiling 17
Goals
Floor 0Expected 3Ceiling 7
Assists
Floor 3Expected 6Ceiling 10
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 9.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±2.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 32 (injury), ceiling 46 (full health) vs 40 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±1.8 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 29 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 0 | 8 | -2 |
| 2024-25 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
| 2023-24 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | -3 |