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Nikita Nesterenko

Nikita Nesterenko

CANA · age 25 · 2026-27 · drafted 2019 by MIN, round 6, #172 overallCompare with…
30
GP
2
G
5
A
7
Pts
0
PPP
35
SOG
56
Hits
10
Blk
Points
Floor 3Expected 7Ceiling 13
Goals
Floor 0Expected 2Ceiling 5
Assists
Floor 3Expected 5Ceiling 8
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 6.3% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±1.8 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 24 (injury), ceiling 36 (full health) vs 30 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±1.4 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysical
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIPP%HITBLKPIM+/-
2026-2710000—011:480:0003000
2025-2629189313.2012:180:1245388-2
2024-25204262020.0010:180:00—4672-4
2023-243101714.3011:300:00—7000
2022-239101234.3013:180:30—610-3

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

LeagueSeasonGPGAPPIM
NCAA2022-233613213418
NCAA2021-22377172450
NCAA2020-21248111918
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