Connor McMichael
L2026-27 projection
77
GP
18
G
31
A
49
Pts
7
PPP
144
SOG
43
Hits
41
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 26Expected 49Ceiling 71
Goals
Floor 10Expected 18Ceiling 27
Assists
Floor 16Expected 31Ceiling 45
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±8.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.