Connor McMichael

CSTL · age 25 · 2026-27 · drafted 2019 by WSH, round 1, #25 overallCompare with…

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2026-27 projection

Pts

PPP

151

SOG

Hits

Blk

2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling

Points

Floor 28Expected 53Ceiling 74

Goals

Floor 11Expected 21Ceiling 29

Assists

Floor 17Expected 32Ceiling 45

What moves the range:

Shooting %: expected 13.9% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.4 (pure luck).
Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
Linemates: assist swing of ±9.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.

NHL seasons

Basic Everything

		Scoring						Ice time				Physical			Faceoffs			Finishing
Season	GP	G	A	P	SOG	SH%	PPP	TOI	PP TOI	ES%	PP%	HIT	BLK	PIM	FOW	FOL	FO%	xG	G−xG	+/-
2026-27	1	0	1	1	1	0.0	0	14:12	2:24	21	40	0	0	0	1	0	100.0	0.2	-0.2	1
2025-26	78	14	32	46	142	9.9	5	16:54	1:42	26	33	45	45	30	265	353	42.9	19.7	-5.7	8
2024-25	82	26	31	57	177	14.7	10	16:48	1:48	—	—	39	36	49	51	58	46.8	24.3	+1.7	19
2023-24	80	18	15	33	135	13.3	6	16:00	1:12	—	—	45	39	34	370	502	42.4	19.9	-1.9	-20
2022-23	6	0	0	0	2	0.0	0	8:54	0:00	—	—	2	3	5	2	1	66.7	0.2	-0.2	0
2021-22	68	9	9	18	105	8.6		—	—	—	—	—	—	10	—	—	—	—	—	-3
2020-21	1	0	0	0	1	0.0		—	—	—	—	—	—	2	—	—	—	—	—	0

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

Other leagues

League	Season	GP	G	A	P	PIM
AHL	2022-23	57	16	23	39	12