2026-27 projection
59
GP
11
G
12
A
22
Pts
5
PPP
81
SOG
89
Hits
43
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 11Expected 22Ceiling 35
Goals
Floor 5Expected 11Ceiling 17
Assists
Floor 6Expected 12Ceiling 18
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.9 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 47 (injury), ceiling 65 (full health) vs 59 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±3.3 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 11:24 | 0:06 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 37 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 17.0 | 2 | 13:42 | 1:36 | 27 | 53 | 30 | 31 | -2 |
| 2024-25 | 57 | 10 | 12 | 22 | 84 | 11.9 | 7 | 15:42 | 2:30 | — | 100 | 36 | 40 | -29 |
| 2023-24 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 13:00 | 3:24 | — | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2022-23 | 58 | 14 | 24 | 38 | 107 | 13.1 | 16 | 18:30 | 3:24 | — | 53 | 38 | 43 | -2 |
| 2021-22 | 70 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 116 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 43 | -18 | |
| 2020-21 | 18 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | -3 | |
| 2019-20 | 64 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 101 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | -1 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
