Paul Cotter
L2026-27 projection
77
GP
9
G
6
A
15
Pts
1
PPP
70
SOG
204
Hits
26
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 7Expected 15Ceiling 23
Goals
Floor 4Expected 9Ceiling 14
Assists
Floor 3Expected 6Ceiling 9
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±3.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±1.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.