Noah Dobson
D2026-27 projection
79
GP
0.14
G
0.47
A
0.61
Pts
0.13
PPP
2.13
SOG
0.81
Hits
2.14
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 24Expected 48Ceiling 69
Goals
Floor 5Expected 11Ceiling 17
Assists
Floor 19Expected 37Ceiling 53
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 6.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 63 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 79 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±10.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.