Noah Dobson
D2026-27 projection
79
GP
11
G
37
A
48
Pts
10
PPP
168
SOG
64
Hits
169
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 24Expected 48Ceiling 69
Goals
Floor 5Expected 11Ceiling 17
Assists
Floor 19Expected 37Ceiling 53
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 6.1% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 63 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 79 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±10.5 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 80 | 12 | 35 | 47 | 158 | 7 | 34 | 5 |
| 2024-25 | 71 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 196 | 12 | 28 | -16 |
| 2023-24 | 79 | 10 | 60 | 70 | 174 | 24 | 36 | 12 |
| 2022-23 | 78 | 13 | 36 | 49 | 206 | 19 | 20 | 4 |
| 2021-22 | 80 | 13 | 38 | 51 | 190 | 18 | -3 | |
| 2020-21 | 46 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 69 | 8 | 1 | |
| 2019-20 | 34 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 8 | -1 |