Evan Bouchard

DEDM · 2025-26

2026-27 projection

Pts

PPP

222

SOG

Hits

101

Blk

2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling

Points

Floor 47Expected 90Ceiling 125

Goals

Floor 10Expected 19Ceiling 26

Assists

Floor 37Expected 72Ceiling 99

What moves the range:

Shooting %: expected 7.9% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.1 (pure luck).
Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
Games played: floor assumes 65 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 81 expected.
Linemates: assist swing of ±20.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.

NHL seasons

Season	GP	G	A	P	SOG	PPP	PIM	+/-
2025-26	82	21	74	95	221	33	30	25
2024-25	82	14	53	67	235	26	32	14
2023-24	81	18	64	82	220	35	32	34
2022-23	82	8	32	40	156	13	28	6
2021-22	81	12	31	43	205		28	10
2020-21	14	2	3	5	38		2	-2
2018-19	7	1	0	1	10		2	-5