Joel Farabee
L2026-27 projection
79
GP
16
G
18
A
33
Pts
4
PPP
139
SOG
60
Hits
49
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 17Expected 33Ceiling 47
Goals
Floor 8Expected 16Ceiling 23
Assists
Floor 9Expected 18Ceiling 25
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 11% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.7 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 63 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 79 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±4.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | 20 | 18 | 38 | 142 | 3 | 28 | -9 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 11 | 14 | 25 | 151 | 4 | 34 | -17 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 22 | 28 | 50 | 182 | 7 | 37 | -13 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 15 | 24 | 39 | 145 | 2 | 41 | -1 |
| 2021-22 | 63 | 17 | 17 | 34 | 119 | 50 | -11 | |
| 2020-21 | 55 | 20 | 18 | 38 | 122 | 28 | 0 | |
| 2019-20 | 52 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 81 | 39 | 6 |