Morgan Frost
C2026-27 projection
77
GP
17
G
22
A
38
Pts
15
PPP
130
SOG
60
Hits
43
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 20Expected 38Ceiling 56
Goals
Floor 9Expected 17Ceiling 25
Assists
Floor 11Expected 22Ceiling 31
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 12.6% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±4.8 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±6.1 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.