Alex DeBrincat
R2026-27 projection
82
GP
39
G
42
A
81
Pts
26
PPP
267
SOG
42
Hits
39
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 45Expected 81Ceiling 107
Goals
Floor 23Expected 39Ceiling 49
Assists
Floor 22Expected 42Ceiling 58
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.7% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 82 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±11.9 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.