2026-27 projection
83
GP
39
G
43
A
82
Pts
26
PPP
270
SOG
43
Hits
39
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 45Expected 82Ceiling 107
Goals
Floor 23Expected 39Ceiling 49
Assists
Floor 22Expected 43Ceiling 58
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 14.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 83 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±12 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | Faceoffs | Finishing | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | ES% | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | FOW | FOL | FO% | xG | G−xG | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 19:42 | 2:06 | 36 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | -1 |
| 2025-26 | 82 | 41 | 44 | 85 | 287 | 14.3 | 23 | 18:30 | 3:18 | 30 | 62 | 38 | 39 | 19 | 19 | 31 | 38.0 | 38.5 | +2.5 | 8 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | 39 | 31 | 70 | 244 | 16.0 | 29 | 17:54 | 3:00 | — | — | 33 | 38 | 29 | 26 | 32 | 44.8 | 32.6 | +6.4 | -13 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 27 | 40 | 67 | 237 | 11.4 | 19 | 17:54 | 2:54 | — | — | 66 | 35 | 34 | 16 | 22 | 42.1 | 28.0 | -1.0 | 1 |
| 2022-23 | 82 | 27 | 39 | 66 | 263 | 10.3 | 30 | 19:00 | 4:06 | — | — | 109 | 38 | 45 | 10 | 9 | 52.6 | 26.2 | +0.8 | -31 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | 41 | 37 | 78 | 270 | 15.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | -13 | |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 32 | 24 | 56 | 155 | 20.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | |
| 2019-20 | 70 | 18 | 27 | 45 | 207 | 8.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | -10 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 41 | 35 | 76 | 220 | 18.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 28 | 24 | 52 | 181 | 15.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
