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Alex DeBrincat

Alex DeBrincat

RDET · age 28 · 2026-27 · drafted 2016 by CHI, round 2, #39 overallCompare with…
83
GP
39
G
43
A
82
Pts
26
PPP
270
SOG
43
Hits
39
Blk
Points
Floor 45Expected 82Ceiling 107
Goals
Floor 23Expected 39Ceiling 49
Assists
Floor 22Expected 43Ceiling 58
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 14.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±7.4 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 66 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 83 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±12 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysicalFaceoffsFinishing
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIES%PP%HITBLKPIMFOWFOLFO%xGG−xG+/-
2026-27100010.0019:422:0636504001150.00.1-0.1-1
2025-268241448528714.32318:303:183062383919193138.038.5+2.58
2024-258239317024416.02917:543:00——333829263244.832.6+6.4-13
2023-248227406723711.41917:542:54——663534162242.128.0-1.01
2022-238227396626310.33019:004:06——109384510952.626.2+0.8-31
2021-228241377827015.2——————19—————-13
2020-215232245615520.6——————12—————3
2019-20701827452078.7——————15—————-10
2018-198241357622018.6——————15—————0
2017-188228245218115.5——————6—————6

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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