2026-27 projection
73
GP
20
G
27
A
47
Pts
8
PPP
127
SOG
90
Hits
29
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 25Expected 47Ceiling 70
Goals
Floor 10Expected 20Ceiling 29
Assists
Floor 14Expected 27Ceiling 41
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 15.5% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.2 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 79 (full health) vs 73 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±7.7 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
| Scoring | Ice time | Physical | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | SH% | PPP | TOI | PP TOI | PP% | HIT | BLK | PIM | +/- |
| 2026-27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25.0 | 0 | 12:42 | 0:36 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2025-26 | 68 | 19 | 26 | 45 | 119 | 16.0 | 7 | 17:24 | 2:24 | 49 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 17 |
| 2024-25 | 62 | 22 | 25 | 47 | 134 | 16.4 | 10 | 15:18 | 1:54 | — | 79 | 21 | 53 | 15 |
| 2023-24 | 81 | 22 | 31 | 53 | 150 | 14.7 | 11 | 15:06 | 1:24 | — | 108 | 34 | 54 | 22 |
| 2022-23 | 68 | 12 | 19 | 31 | 148 | 8.1 | 5 | 15:42 | 1:36 | — | 88 | 39 | 80 | -6 |
| 2021-22 | 54 | 18 | 29 | 47 | 121 | 14.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 53 | 29 | |
| 2020-21 | 33 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 50 | 4.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 4 | |
| 2019-20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | |
Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.
