Mitch Marner
R2026-27 projection
79
GP
24
G
64
A
88
Pts
28
PPP
164
SOG
34
Hits
44
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 47Expected 88Ceiling 124
Goals
Floor 13Expected 24Ceiling 33
Assists
Floor 33Expected 64Ceiling 91
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 13.8% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.6 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 63 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 79 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±18 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
NHL seasons
| Season | GP | G | A | P | SOG | PPP | PIM | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 24 | 56 | 80 | 165 | 24 | 24 | 17 |
| 2024-25 | 81 | 27 | 75 | 102 | 173 | 33 | 14 | 18 |
| 2023-24 | 69 | 26 | 59 | 85 | 158 | 27 | 18 | 21 |
| 2022-23 | 80 | 30 | 69 | 99 | 196 | 36 | 28 | 18 |
| 2021-22 | 72 | 35 | 62 | 97 | 224 | 16 | 23 | |
| 2020-21 | 55 | 20 | 47 | 67 | 156 | 20 | 21 | |
| 2019-20 | 59 | 16 | 51 | 67 | 154 | 16 | 6 | |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 26 | 68 | 94 | 233 | 22 | 22 | |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 22 | 47 | 69 | 194 | 26 | -1 | |
| 2016-17 | 77 | 19 | 42 | 61 | 176 | 38 | 0 |