Zach Werenski
D2026-27 projection
77
GP
21
G
61
A
82
Pts
23
PPP
264
SOG
27
Hits
107
Blk
2026-27 outlook · floor / expected / ceiling
Points
Floor 43Expected 82Ceiling 119
Goals
Floor 11Expected 21Ceiling 30
Assists
Floor 32Expected 61Ceiling 89
What moves the range:
- Shooting %: expected 7.4% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.4 (pure luck).
- Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
- Games played: floor assumes 62 (injury), ceiling 82 (full health) vs 77 expected.
- Linemates: assist swing of ±17.2 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.