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Mathew Barzal

Mathew Barzal

CNYI · age 29 · 2025-26 · drafted 2015 by NYI, round 1, #16 overallOutCompare with…
72
GP
20
G
48
A
69
Pts
18
PPP
166
SOG
32
Hits
45
Blk
Points
Floor 36Expected 69Ceiling 102
Goals
Floor 11Expected 20Ceiling 30
Assists
Floor 25Expected 48Ceiling 72
What moves the range:
  • Shooting %: expected 12.2% — a hot/cold season swings goals by ±5.4 (pure luck).
  • Ice time / role: ±7% (line/PP promotion vs demotion) — line & power-play promotion is the biggest upside lever.
  • Games played: floor assumes 58 (injury), ceiling 78 (full health) vs 72 expected.
  • Linemates: assist swing of ±13.6 tracks how well his linemates finish his setups.
BasicEverything
ScoringIce timePhysicalFaceoffsFinishing
SeasonGPGAPSOGSH%PPPTOIPP TOIES%PP%HITBLKPIMFOWFOLFO%xGG−xG+/-
2025-268119537218410.32020:423:30336629506121031839.823.0-4.010
2024-253061420787.7420:242:54——24244223042.39.4-3.410
2023-24802357802409.62520:063:06——545234496543.021.5+1.5-4
2022-235814375113910.11918:423:30——25342210418835.614.3-0.35
2021-22731544591619.3——————18—————-15
2020-215517284513412.7——————48—————15
2019-206819416017111.1——————44—————5
2018-198218446217910.1——————46—————-5
2017-188222638517012.9——————30—————1
2016-1720000———————6—————-2

Expected goals from the shot feed, which starts in 2022-23. Earlier seasons are blank because the data does not exist, not because he had none. G−xG is goals minus expected: how much better or worse he finished than the chances he took.

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